New guidance for decision-makers on use of probabilistic flood forecasts

A new Environment Agency publication, ‘Application of Probabilistic Forecasting in Flood Incident Management’ looks at the use of probabilistic flood forecasts in managing responses to flooding. The report highlights that decision-making during flooding incidents is a dynamic process, and the researchers developed a framework to aid such decision-making with probabilistic forecasts. The framework is illustrated with case studies and is intended for use by practitioners and researchers. It will help inform the future direction of probabilistic flood forecasting as part wider developments in flood incident management.