The Met Office has produced further information that points to the likely changes to our climate. New research suggests that the likelihood of extremely hot summers in Europe has increased significantly. The chance of extreme heatwaves at the start of this century (like the one in 2003) was about 1:1000 years: it is now about 1:100 years, with the prospect of such heatwaves every other year by mid-century.
Furthermore, Met Office data for 2014 indicates that this was the warmest year on record for the UK – 1.1°C above the long term average. While the year was warm overall, no new temperature records were set. It also means that 8 of the UK’s 10 warmest years have been since 2002.
- Met Office: Last decade sees dramatic increase in chance of extreme hot European summers
- Reporting Climate Science: Extreme European summers "ten times more likely"
- Met Office: 2014 confirmed as UK's warmest year on record