A new study has concluded that the latest observations of global temperature are consistent with conventional estimates of the long-term ‘climate sensitivity’, despite a ”warming pause” over the past decade. However, the most extreme rates of warming simulated by climate models over longer timescales are looking less likely. An international research team conducted the study, led by Dr Alexander Otto of the Environmental Change Institute, UKCIP’s home within the University of Oxford.
There is little cause for celebration though – even warming at the lower end of current projections will mean significant disruption to human and natural systems.
- University of Oxford: Global warming continues; most extreme projections ‘less likely’
- Nature: Energy budget constraints on climate response
- Climate News Network: A cooler century? Wait and see
- The Conversation: Long-term warming, short-term variability: why climate change is still an issue
- Guardian: Climate change: human disaster looms, claims new research